尹宗润, 李俊山, 苏东. 一种电子设备贝叶斯可靠性评估的新方法[J]. 微电子学与计算机, 2014, 31(6): 107-110.
引用本文: 尹宗润, 李俊山, 苏东. 一种电子设备贝叶斯可靠性评估的新方法[J]. 微电子学与计算机, 2014, 31(6): 107-110.
YIN Zong-run, LI Jun-shan, SU Dong. A Novelty Method for Bayesian Reliability Assessment of Electronic Equipment[J]. Microelectronics & Computer, 2014, 31(6): 107-110.
Citation: YIN Zong-run, LI Jun-shan, SU Dong. A Novelty Method for Bayesian Reliability Assessment of Electronic Equipment[J]. Microelectronics & Computer, 2014, 31(6): 107-110.

一种电子设备贝叶斯可靠性评估的新方法

A Novelty Method for Bayesian Reliability Assessment of Electronic Equipment

  • 摘要: 针对贝叶斯方法应用中后验参数的运算复杂性问题,提出了一种电子设备贝叶斯可靠性评估的新方法.基于工程实践中常见的先验信息建立失效率先验分布,通过随机采样构建设备寿命分布参数的离散联合先验分布,结合截尾试验数据,再通过二次随机采样得到分布参数的离散联合后验分布函数.通过实例给出了运算过程,并与其它贝叶斯运算方法进行了比较.结果表明,此方法在确保精度的同时可以大大简化计算过程,在电子设备可靠性评估中有较高的应用价值.

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the posterior parameter computation difficulty of Bayes method in engineering application, this paper proposed a novelty method for Bayesian reliability assessment of electronic equipment. The prior distribution of failure rate is built according to the engineering experiences, based on the prior distribution, this approach allows constructing the discrete joint prior distribution of lifetime distribution parameters through random sampling, combined with the censoring data of life test, random sample is adopted again to obtain the discrete joint posterior distribution of the parameters. A practical example is given as an illustration, the process is compared with the other approaches. Result shows that, this approach can simplify much computation in practical applications as well as ensure the accuracy; it has great values for electronic equipment reliability assessment.

     

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